Columbus Crew vs New England Revolution prediction — MLS · Sun 30 Aug · 00:30 UK

MLS · Sun 30 Aug · 00:30 UK
Columbus Crew 50Draw 25New England Revolution 25
The call
78%
Over 1.5 goals
2.9
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–3

How it finished

New England Revolution beat Columbus Crew 3–1. Bawler's model favoured Columbus Crew at 50% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave New England Revolution 25%. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 4. Columbus Crew had 7 shots (1 on target) to New England Revolution's 21 (11), with 54% of the ball against 46%. Expected goals finished 0.4 to 1.4.

Columbus CrewFull-time statsNew England…
54%Possession46%
0.4Expected goals (xG)1.4
7Shots21
1Shots on target11
5Shots inside box12
0Big chances1
5Corners5
8Saves0
10Fouls7
1Offsides4
1Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultColumbus Crew 50%New England Revolution (25% called)
Total goals2.94
Both teams to score56%Yes
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 78%Landed
Second callOver 2.5 Goals 55%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Columbus Crew to score82%
Over 1.5 goals78%
New England Revolution to score69%
Under 3.5 goals68%

First half — what we expected

Columbus CrewBefore half-timeNew England Revolution
65%Chance to score46%
6.8Expected shots4.4
1.9Expected shots on target1.9
2.8Expected corners1.5
65%Chance of 6+ shots29%
37%Chance of 8+ shots10%
65%Chance of 1+ shots on target65%
29%Chance of 3+ shots on target28%
74%Chance of 2+ corners44%
31%Chance of 4+ corners9%

Chance of at least one first-half goal: 81%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.6 / match
Head-to-head, last 5COL 3 · D 0 · NEW 2
Opponent strength indexTop quartile

Head to head

Apr 2026New England Revolution 2–1 Columbus Crew
Aug 2025Columbus Crew 1–2 New England Revolution
Mar 2025New England Revolution 0–1 Columbus Crew
Oct 2024Columbus Crew 4–0 New England Revolution
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Columbus Crew vs New England Revolution?

New England Revolution beat Columbus Crew 3–1. Bawler's model favoured Columbus Crew at 50% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave New England Revolution 25%. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 4. Columbus Crew had 7 shots (1 on target) to New England Revolution's 21 (11), with 54% of the ball against 46%. Expected goals finished 0.4 to 1.4.

What was the final score in Columbus Crew vs New England Revolution?

Columbus Crew 1–3 New England Revolution, played on 30 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Columbus Crew 50%, the draw 25% and New England Revolution 25%.

What were the stats in Columbus Crew vs New England Revolution?

Full-time: Possession 54%–46%, Expected goals (xG) 0.4–1.4, Shots 7–21, Shots on target 1–11, Shots inside box 5–12, Big chances 0–1, Corners 5–5, Saves 8–0, Fouls 10–7, Offsides 1–4, Yellow cards 1–1.

Did both teams score in Columbus Crew vs New England Revolution?

Yes — both Columbus Crew and New England Revolution scored, finishing 1–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Columbus Crew vs New England Revolution right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Columbus Crew 50%, it finished New England Revolution (25% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 56%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 78%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Over 2.5 Goals 55%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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