USA: MLSSaturday 29 Aug, 23:30 UTC

Columbus Crew vNew England Revolution

Most likely scoreline
11
12% of the time · 2.65 goals expected
Columbus Crew 43%Draw 31%New England Revolution 25%
How we get there
Columbus CrewstepNew England Revolution
1.52Base xG · rolling 26-match1.13
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.52Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.13

Early projection

These are the model's current numbers for a fixture that hasn't come round yet. They firm up on matchday, once team news and lineups are in — and once the model's call is locked it's never edited, which is what makes the track record mean anything.

Columbus Crew average 5.5 corners per game at home this season (25 competitive matches). New England Revolution average 4.8 corners per game away from home this season (21 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
7
8
4
2
1
11
12
7
3
1
2
8
9
5
2
1
3
4
5
3
1
4
2
2
1
5
1
6
home windrawaway win

Most likely to score or assist

To score
Harry Kane
New England Revolution · Bayern Munich
60%
To score
Bukayo Saka
New England Revolution · Arsenal
42%
To score
Jude Bellingham
New England Revolution · Real Madrid
36%

Probabilities from a per-player model on recent form and minutes played.

More predictions for these teams

Columbus Crew vs New England Revolution — Head-to-Head

In 1 recorded meeting since 18 April 2026, Columbus Crew have won 0, New England Revolution have won 1, with 0 drawn. This covers only matches in Bawler's own settled ledger — not an all-time head-to-head record.

DateResultCompetition
18 April 2026New England Revolution 21 Columbus CrewUSA: MLS

The model's verdict for this fixture: Columbus Crew 43% · draw 31% · New England Revolution 25%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.