New England Revolution beat Columbus Crew 3–1. Bawler's model favoured Columbus Crew at 50% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave New England Revolution 25%. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 4. Columbus Crew had 7 shots (1 on target) to New England Revolution's 21 (11), with 54% of the ball against 46%. Expected goals finished 0.4 to 1.4.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
Chance of at least one first-half goal: 81%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.
New England Revolution beat Columbus Crew 3–1. Bawler's model favoured Columbus Crew at 50% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave New England Revolution 25%. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 4. Columbus Crew had 7 shots (1 on target) to New England Revolution's 21 (11), with 54% of the ball against 46%. Expected goals finished 0.4 to 1.4.
Columbus Crew 1–3 New England Revolution, played on 30 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Columbus Crew 50%, the draw 25% and New England Revolution 25%.
Full-time: Possession 54%–46%, Expected goals (xG) 0.4–1.4, Shots 7–21, Shots on target 1–11, Shots inside box 5–12, Big chances 0–1, Corners 5–5, Saves 8–0, Fouls 10–7, Offsides 1–4, Yellow cards 1–1.
Yes — both Columbus Crew and New England Revolution scored, finishing 1–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Columbus Crew 50%, it finished New England Revolution (25% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 56%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 78%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Over 2.5 Goals 55%, it finished Landed.