What we expect
Player forecasts
How much each player is expected to threaten the goal if he starts — lineups are confirmed about an hour before kickoff.
Based on counted shooting from the 2025 and 2026 seasons in this competition.
These are forecasts, not tips. A player’s rate is weighted toward the league average when it rests on fewer minutes, so a small sample never reads as a certainty.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who will win Columbus Crew vs Inter Miami CF?
Bawler's model rates this match: Columbus Crew are favoured (40% win probability vs 37% for Inter Miami CF, 24% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.
What is the predicted score for Columbus Crew vs Inter Miami CF?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Columbus Crew 1-1 Inter Miami CF (9.8% probability). Expected total goals: 3.48.
How does Bawler predict Columbus Crew vs Inter Miami CF?
Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Columbus Crew 40%, the draw 24% and Inter Miami CF 37%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Columbus Crew vs Inter Miami CF?
BTTS: Yes (68% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.78 and away expected goals 1.70.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Columbus Crew vs Inter Miami CF?
Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 3.48. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).