FT · USA: MLS · Thursday, 15 October 2026
Inter Miami CF 2–0 New York City FCMatch recap & how our call landed · Thursday, 15 October 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was Inter Miami CF or draw at 76%. Bawler had Inter Miami CF at 53%, the draw at 22% and New York City FC at 24%. The match finished 2–0.
Pre-match probability vs result
Inter Miami CF win
53%
Result
Draw
22%
New York City FC win
24%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.1 – 1.4
Total 3.5
Actual
2 – 0
Total 2 (−1.5 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
2.2 – 1.5
From the match itself
The match produced 1.5 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 86%
Landed
Medium confidence
Inter Miami CF to win
Pre-match: 53%
Landed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.