How it finished
New England Revolution beat Chicago Fire FC 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Chicago Fire FC at 54% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave New England Revolution 23%. It forecast 3.2 goals and the match produced 3. Chicago Fire FC had 22 shots (7 on target) to New England Revolution's 4 (2), with 61% of the ball against 40%.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 80%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Chicago Fire FC vs New England Revolution?
New England Revolution beat Chicago Fire FC 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Chicago Fire FC at 54% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave New England Revolution 23%. It forecast 3.2 goals and the match produced 3. Chicago Fire FC had 22 shots (7 on target) to New England Revolution's 4 (2), with 61% of the ball against 40%.
What was the final score in Chicago Fire FC vs New England Revolution?
Chicago Fire FC 1–2 New England Revolution, played on 13 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Chicago Fire FC 54%, the draw 23% and New England Revolution 23%.
What were the stats in Chicago Fire FC vs New England Revolution?
Full-time: Possession 61%–40%, Shots 22–4, Shots on target 7–2, Corners 13–0, Saves 0–5, Fouls 14–9, Offsides 3–2, Yellow cards 2–2.
Did both teams score in Chicago Fire FC vs New England Revolution?
Yes — both Chicago Fire FC and New England Revolution scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 61% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Chicago Fire FC vs New England Revolution right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Chicago Fire FC or draw 77%, it finished New England Revolution won (23% called); Total goals — we said 3.2, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 61%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 83%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Chicago Fire FC to win 54%, it finished Missed.