FT · USA: MLS · Sunday, 27 September 2026
Charlotte FC 0–1 Chicago Fire FCMatch recap · Sunday, 27 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Charlotte FC win
40%
Draw
25%
Chicago Fire FC win
35%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.7 – 1.6
Total 3.2
Actual
0 – 1
Total 1 (−2.2 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.2 – 1.1
From the match itself
The match produced 2.2 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.