How it finished
Chicago Fire FC and Inter Miami CF drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Chicago Fire FC at 44% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 22%. It forecast 3.8 goals; only 2 were scored. Chicago Fire FC had 10 shots (3 on target) to Inter Miami CF's 20 (7), with 44% of the ball against 56%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 1.4.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 82%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Chicago Fire FC vs Inter Miami CF?
Chicago Fire FC and Inter Miami CF drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Chicago Fire FC at 44% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 22%. It forecast 3.8 goals; only 2 were scored. Chicago Fire FC had 10 shots (3 on target) to Inter Miami CF's 20 (7), with 44% of the ball against 56%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 1.4.
What was the final score in Chicago Fire FC vs Inter Miami CF?
Chicago Fire FC 1–1 Inter Miami CF, played on 10 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Chicago Fire FC 44%, the draw 22% and Inter Miami CF 34%.
What were the stats in Chicago Fire FC vs Inter Miami CF?
Full-time: Possession 44%–56%, Expected goals (xG) 0.8–1.4, Shots 10–20, Shots on target 3–7, Shots inside box 7–10, Big chances 4–0, Corners 2–5, Saves 6–2, Fouls 16–14, Offsides 0–2, Yellow cards 2–3.
Did both teams score in Chicago Fire FC vs Inter Miami CF?
Yes — both Chicago Fire FC and Inter Miami CF scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 73% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Chicago Fire FC vs Inter Miami CF right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Chicago Fire FC or draw 66%, it finished Draw (22% called); Total goals — we said 3.8, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 73%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 90%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 3.5 goals 53%, it finished Missed.