How it finished
Chicago Fire FC beat Charlotte FC 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Charlotte FC at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Chicago Fire FC 35%. It forecast 3.2 goals; only 1 was scored. Charlotte FC had 11 shots (2 on target) to Chicago Fire FC's 18 (8), with 41% of the ball against 59%. On expected goals it was 1.2 to 1.1, so Charlotte FC created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we said the chances were
What we expected from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
Each bar is split by each side's share of the total.
First half — what we expected
First half — what we expected
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
League position
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Charlotte FC vs Chicago Fire FC?
Chicago Fire FC beat Charlotte FC 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Charlotte FC at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Chicago Fire FC 35%. It forecast 3.2 goals; only 1 was scored. Charlotte FC had 11 shots (2 on target) to Chicago Fire FC's 18 (8), with 41% of the ball against 59%. On expected goals it was 1.2 to 1.1, so Charlotte FC created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Charlotte FC vs Chicago Fire FC?
Charlotte FC 0–1 Chicago Fire FC, played on 27 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Charlotte FC 40%, the draw 25% and Chicago Fire FC 35%.
What were the stats in Charlotte FC vs Chicago Fire FC?
Full-time: Possession 41%–59%, Expected goals (xG) 1.2–1.1, Shots 11–18, Shots on target 2–8, Shots inside box 8–8, Big chances 4–2, Corners 4–6, Saves 8–2, Fouls 14–15, Offsides 3–0, Yellow cards 6–2, Red cards 1–0.
Did both teams score in Charlotte FC vs Chicago Fire FC?
No. It finished 0–1, so Charlotte FC failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 64% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Charlotte FC vs Chicago Fire FC right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Charlotte FC or draw 65%, it finished Chicago Fire FC won (35% called); Total goals — we said 3.2, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 64%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 84%, it finished Missed.