Benfica beat Estoril 2–1. Bawler's model had Benfica in front at 76% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.4 goals and the match produced 3. Benfica had 25 shots (8 on target) to Estoril's 4 (2), with 66% of the ball against 34%. Expected goals finished 2.0 to 0.4.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
Chance of at least one first-half goal: 84%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.
Benfica beat Estoril 2–1. Bawler's model had Benfica in front at 76% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.4 goals and the match produced 3. Benfica had 25 shots (8 on target) to Estoril's 4 (2), with 66% of the ball against 34%. Expected goals finished 2.0 to 0.4.
Benfica 2–1 Estoril, played on 31 Aug 2026 in the PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal. Bawler's model had gone into it with Benfica 76%, the draw 16% and Estoril 9%.
Full-time: Possession 66%–34%, Expected goals (xG) 2.0–0.4, Shots 25–4, Shots on target 8–2, Shots inside box 15–3, Big chances 2–0, Corners 9–0, Saves 1–6, Fouls 14–12, Offsides 2–0, Yellow cards 0–1.
Yes — both Benfica and Estoril scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 51% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Benfica 76%, it finished Benfica (76% called); Total goals — we said 3.4, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 51%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Home Win 76%, it finished Landed.