FT · Portugal: Primeira Liga · Sunday, 20 September 2026
Estoril 1–2 Casa PiaMatch recap · Sunday, 20 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Estoril win
51%
Draw
26%
Casa Pia win
23%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.7 – 1.1
Total 2.7
Actual
1 – 2
Total 3 (+0.3 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.0 – 2.2
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.3 of our 2.7.