FT · PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal · Monday, 17 August 2026
Casa Pia 0–7 BenficaMatch recap & Bawler model verdict · Monday, 17 August 2026
> 🧠 Model verdict
✓ Model called it
Pre-match, Bawler had Casa Pia at 27%, draw at 34%, Benfica at 39%. The match ended 0-7 — confirming the model's lean toward Benfica.
> Pre-match probability vs result
Pia win
27%
Draw
34%
Benfica win
39%
Actual ✓
> 🧾 What the model called · and how it landed
High confidence
Over 1.5 Goals
Pre-match: 77%
✓ Won
Medium confidence
Under 2.5 Goals
Pre-match: 54%
✗ Lost
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 24%
✗ Lost