FT · Portugal: Primeira Liga · Sunday, 13 September 2026
Benfica 3–1 Gil VicenteMatch recap · Sunday, 13 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Benfica win
63%
Result
Draw
22%
Gil Vicente win
15%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.0 – 0.9
Total 2.9
Actual
3 – 1
Total 4 (+1.1 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
2.9 – 1.1
From the match itself
The match produced 1.1 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.