FT · Portugal: Primeira Liga · Monday, 14 September 2026
Braga 1–0 EstorilMatch recap · Monday, 14 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Braga win
65%
Result
Draw
21%
Estoril win
15%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.2 – 0.9
Total 3.1
Actual
1 – 0
Total 1 (−2.1 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.8 – 0.5
From the match itself
The match produced 2.1 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.