Benfica beat Celtic 4–1. Benfica had 26 shots (7 on target) to Celtic's 14 (7), with 53% of the ball against 47%. Expected goals finished 2.7 to 1.3.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
Benfica beat Celtic 4–1. Benfica had 26 shots (7 on target) to Celtic's 14 (7), with 53% of the ball against 47%. Expected goals finished 2.7 to 1.3.
Benfica 4–1 Celtic, played on 15 Oct 2026 in the Europe: Europa League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Benfica 67%, the draw 19% and Celtic 13%.
Full-time: Possession 53%–47%, Expected goals (xG) 2.7–1.3, Shots 26–14, Shots on target 7–7, Shots inside box 21–12, Big chances 3–2, Corners 8–6, Saves 6–3, Fouls 9–7, Offsides 2–2, Yellow cards 3–0.
Yes — both Benfica and Celtic scored, finishing 4–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.