Benfica vs Celtic prediction — Europa League · Thu 15 Oct · 20:00 UK

Europa League · Thu 15 Oct · 20:00 UK
67Benfica win19Draw13Celtic win
Full time
4–1

How it finished

Benfica beat Celtic 4–1. Benfica had 26 shots (7 on target) to Celtic's 14 (7), with 53% of the ball against 47%. Expected goals finished 2.7 to 1.3.

BenficaFull-time statsCeltic
53%Possession47%
2.7Expected goals (xG)1.3
26Shots14
7Shots on target7
21Shots inside box12
3Big chances2
8Corners6
6Saves3
9Fouls7
2Offsides2
3Yellow cards0
We predicted
2–0
Benfica to win · 10% for this exact score
Expected goals
2.3v0.9
3.2 in total
Both teams score
54%
Leans yes
3+ goals
62%
Likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

BenficaBenficaCelticCeltic
2.3Goals0.9
13.7Shots6.7
5.8Corners5.7
BenficaBenficaCelticCeltic
1.2Goals0.5
6.5Shots3.1
2.7Corners2.7
BenficaBenficaCelticCeltic
1.1Goals0.5
7.2Shots3.6
3.1Corners3.0

What we said the chances were

Benfica to score90%
2 or more goals83%
Goal before half-time82%
Celtic to score60%

First half — what we expected

Benfica
71%
to score before half-time
Celtic
37%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

BenficaBenficaCelticCeltic
71%5+ shots23%
45%7+ shots<10%
70%2+ shots on target67%
28%4+ shots on target25%
70%2+ corners70%
30%4+ corners29%

League position

Celtic in their league tableTop quarter

Head to head

Nov 2012Benfica 2–1 Celtic
Sept 2012Celtic 0–0 Benfica
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

Liga Portugal table →Premiership table →
All fixtures & results →Benfica form →Celtic form →

Common questions

Who won Benfica vs Celtic?

Benfica beat Celtic 4–1. Benfica had 26 shots (7 on target) to Celtic's 14 (7), with 53% of the ball against 47%. Expected goals finished 2.7 to 1.3.

What was the final score in Benfica vs Celtic?

Benfica 4–1 Celtic, played on 15 Oct 2026 in the Europe: Europa League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Benfica 67%, the draw 19% and Celtic 13%.

What were the stats in Benfica vs Celtic?

Full-time: Possession 53%–47%, Expected goals (xG) 2.7–1.3, Shots 26–14, Shots on target 7–7, Shots inside box 21–12, Big chances 3–2, Corners 8–6, Saves 6–3, Fouls 9–7, Offsides 2–2, Yellow cards 3–0.

Did both teams score in Benfica vs Celtic?

Yes — both Benfica and Celtic scored, finishing 4–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.