FT · Europe: Europa League · Wednesday, 16 September 2026
AC Milan 0–2 BenficaMatch recap · Wednesday, 16 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
AC Milan win
39%
Draw
26%
Benfica win
35%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.5 – 1.4
Total 2.9
Actual
0 – 2
Total 2 (−0.9 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.0 – 0.6
From the match itself
The match produced 0.9 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.