FT · Portugal: Taça da Liga · Thursday, 29 October 2026
Benfica 4–1 Gil VicenteMatch recap · Thursday, 29 October 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Benfica win
66%
Result
Draw
21%
Gil Vicente win
13%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.1 – 0.8
Total 2.9
Actual
4 – 1
Total 5 (+2.1 against our forecast)
The match produced 2.1 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.