Aston Villa beat Fenerbahce 6–0. Aston Villa had 20 shots (11 on target) to Fenerbahce's 15 (4), with 45% of the ball against 55%. Expected goals finished 3.1 to 1.9.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
Aston Villa beat Fenerbahce 6–0. Aston Villa had 20 shots (11 on target) to Fenerbahce's 15 (4), with 45% of the ball against 55%. Expected goals finished 3.1 to 1.9.
Aston Villa 6–0 Fenerbahce, played on 14 Oct 2026 in the Europe: Champions League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Aston Villa 63%, the draw 21% and Fenerbahce 16%.
Full-time: Possession 45%–55%, Expected goals (xG) 3.1–1.9, Shots 20–15, Shots on target 11–4, Shots inside box 11–7, Big chances 3–3, Corners 9–7, Saves 4–5, Fouls 12–6, Offsides 1–3, Yellow cards 0–2.
No. It finished 6–0, so Fenerbahce failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.