Aston Villa vs Fenerbahce prediction — Champions League · Wed 14 Oct · 20:00 UK

Champions League · Wed 14 Oct · 20:00 UK
63Aston Villa win21Draw16Fenerbahce win
Full time
6–0

How it finished

Aston Villa beat Fenerbahce 6–0. Aston Villa had 20 shots (11 on target) to Fenerbahce's 15 (4), with 45% of the ball against 55%. Expected goals finished 3.1 to 1.9.

Aston VillaFull-time statsFenerbahce
45%Possession55%
3.1Expected goals (xG)1.9
20Shots15
11Shots on target4
11Shots inside box7
3Big chances3
9Corners7
4Saves5
12Fouls6
1Offsides3
0Yellow cards2
We predicted
2–0
Aston Villa to win · 10% for this exact score
Expected goals
2.1v1.0
3.1 in total
Both teams score
55%
Leans yes
3+ goals
61%
Likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

Aston VillaAston VillaFenerbahceFenerbahce
2.1Goals1.0
12.1Shots16.8
3.0On target9.3
2.4Corners7.3
Aston VillaAston VillaFenerbahceFenerbahce
0.9Goals0.5
5.6Shots7.7
1.4On target4.1
1.1Corners3.4
Aston VillaAston VillaFenerbahceFenerbahce
1.3Goals0.5
6.5Shots9.1
1.6On target5.2
1.3Corners3.9

What we said the chances were

Aston Villa to score88%
2 or more goals82%
Goal before half-time75%
Fenerbahce to score63%
3 goals or fewer62%

First half — what we expected

Aston Villa
59%
to score before half-time
Fenerbahce
39%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

Aston VillaAston VillaFenerbahceFenerbahce
34%7+ shots60%
16%9+ shots37%
18%3+ shots on target74%
<10%5+ shots on target39%
31%2+ corners81%
<10%4+ corners43%

League position

Fenerbahce in their league tableUpper half

Head to head

Jan 2026Fenerbahçe 0–1 Aston Villa
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

Premier League table →Süper Lig table →
All fixtures & results →Aston Villa form →Fenerbahce form →

Common questions

Who won Aston Villa vs Fenerbahce?

Aston Villa beat Fenerbahce 6–0. Aston Villa had 20 shots (11 on target) to Fenerbahce's 15 (4), with 45% of the ball against 55%. Expected goals finished 3.1 to 1.9.

What was the final score in Aston Villa vs Fenerbahce?

Aston Villa 6–0 Fenerbahce, played on 14 Oct 2026 in the Europe: Champions League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Aston Villa 63%, the draw 21% and Fenerbahce 16%.

What were the stats in Aston Villa vs Fenerbahce?

Full-time: Possession 45%–55%, Expected goals (xG) 3.1–1.9, Shots 20–15, Shots on target 11–4, Shots inside box 11–7, Big chances 3–3, Corners 9–7, Saves 4–5, Fouls 12–6, Offsides 1–3, Yellow cards 0–2.

Did both teams score in Aston Villa vs Fenerbahce?

No. It finished 6–0, so Fenerbahce failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.