FT · Europe: Champions League · Wednesday, 21 October 2026
Aston Villa 3–1 Viking FKMatch recap · Wednesday, 21 October 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Aston Villa win
68%
Result
Draw
18%
Viking FK win
14%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.6 – 1.1
Total 3.7
Actual
3 – 1
Total 4 (+0.3 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
2.7 – 0.8
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.3 of our 3.7.