FT · England: Premier League · Saturday, 19 September 2026
Tottenham Hotspur 2–3 Aston VillaMatch recap · Saturday, 19 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Tottenham Hotspur win
36%
Draw
28%
Aston Villa win
37%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.3 – 1.3
Total 2.7
Actual
2 – 3
Total 5 (+2.3 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.2 – 1.2
From the match itself
The match produced 2.3 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.