Arsenal vs Lille prediction — Champions League · Tue 13 Oct · 20:00 UK

Champions League · Tue 13 Oct · 20:00 UK
75Arsenal win17Draw8Lille win
Full time
3–0

How it finished

Arsenal beat Lille 3–0. Arsenal had 16 shots (8 on target) to Lille's 4 (0), with 58% of the ball against 42%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 0.4.

ArsenalFull-time statsLille
58%Possession42%
1.9Expected goals (xG)0.4
16Shots4
8Shots on target0
12Shots inside box1
1Big chances0
7Corners0
0Saves5
13Fouls9
4Offsides3
2Yellow cards1
We predicted
2–0
Arsenal to win · 14% for this exact score
Expected goals
2.3v0.6
2.9 in total
Both teams score
42%
Leans no
3+ goals
56%
Leans likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

ArsenalArsenalLilleLille
2.3Goals0.6
17.3Shots6.8
6.2On target3.6
5.1Corners2.1
ArsenalArsenalLilleLille
1.0Goals0.2
8.4Shots3.1
2.8On target1.6
2.4Corners1.0
ArsenalArsenalLilleLille
1.3Goals0.4
9.0Shots3.7
3.4On target2.0
2.7Corners1.1

What we said the chances were

Arsenal to score90%
2 or more goals79%
Goal before half-time71%
3 goals or fewer66%

First half — what we expected

Arsenal
64%
to score before half-time
Lille
18%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

ArsenalArsenalLilleLille
67%7+ shots<10%
44%9+ shots<10%
73%2+ shots on target45%
32%4+ shots on target10%
86%1+ corners56%
41%3+ corners10%

League position

Lille in their league tableTop quarter
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

Premier League table →Ligue 1 table →
All fixtures & results →Arsenal form →Lille form →

Common questions

Who won Arsenal vs Lille?

Arsenal beat Lille 3–0. Arsenal had 16 shots (8 on target) to Lille's 4 (0), with 58% of the ball against 42%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 0.4.

What was the final score in Arsenal vs Lille?

Arsenal 3–0 Lille, played on 13 Oct 2026 in the Europe: Champions League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Arsenal 75%, the draw 17% and Lille 8%.

What were the stats in Arsenal vs Lille?

Full-time: Possession 58%–42%, Expected goals (xG) 1.9–0.4, Shots 16–4, Shots on target 8–0, Shots inside box 12–1, Big chances 1–0, Corners 7–0, Saves 0–5, Fouls 13–9, Offsides 4–3, Yellow cards 2–1.

Did both teams score in Arsenal vs Lille?

No. It finished 3–0, so Lille failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 42% before kickoff.