FT · England: Premier League · Saturday, 24 October 2026
Arsenal 2–0 EvertonMatch recap · Saturday, 24 October 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Arsenal win
65%
Result
Draw
22%
Everton win
13%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.9 – 0.7
Total 2.7
Actual
2 – 0
Total 2 (−0.7 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.8 – 0.5
From the match itself
The match produced 0.7 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.