FT · England: Premier League · Saturday, 19 September 2026
Brighton & Hove Albion 3–0 ArsenalMatch recap · Saturday, 19 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Brighton & Hove Albion win
27%
Result
Draw
27%
Arsenal win
46%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.1 – 1.5
Total 2.6
Actual
3 – 0
Total 3 (+0.4 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.3 – 1.6
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.4 of our 2.6.