FT · France: Ligue 1 · Sunday, 25 October 2026
AS Monaco 1–1 LilleMatch recap · Sunday, 25 October 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
AS Monaco win
46%
Draw
26%
Result
Lille win
29%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.7 – 1.3
Total 2.9
Actual
1 – 1
Total 2 (−0.9 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
2.2 – 0.7
From the match itself
The match produced 0.9 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.