FT · France: Ligue 1 · Sunday, 20 September 2026
Nice 2–1 LilleMatch recap · Sunday, 20 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Nice win
29%
Result
Draw
27%
Lille win
44%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.2 – 1.6
Total 2.8
Actual
2 – 1
Total 3 (+0.2 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.5 – 1.6
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.2 of our 2.8.