FT · Europe: Champions League · Wednesday, 21 October 2026
Lille 2–4 GalatasarayMatch recap · Wednesday, 21 October 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Lille win
53%
Draw
23%
Galatasaray win
24%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.0 – 1.3
Total 3.2
Actual
2 – 4
Total 6 (+2.8 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.9 – 1.6
From the match itself
The match produced 2.8 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.