Cardiff City beat Watford 5–1. Cardiff City had 22 shots (10 on target) to Watford's 14 (4), with 58% of the ball against 42%. Expected goals finished 3.7 to 1.5.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
Cardiff City beat Watford 5–1. Cardiff City had 22 shots (10 on target) to Watford's 14 (4), with 58% of the ball against 42%. Expected goals finished 3.7 to 1.5.
Cardiff City 5–1 Watford, played on 13 Oct 2026 in the England: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Cardiff City 47%, the draw 25% and Watford 28%.
Full-time: Possession 58%–42%, Expected goals (xG) 3.7–1.5, Shots 22–14, Shots on target 10–4, Shots inside box 14–10, Big chances 6–6, Corners 6–1, Saves 3–6, Fouls 12–12, Offsides 4–4, Yellow cards 1–4.
Yes — both Cardiff City and Watford scored, finishing 5–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 59% before kickoff.