Cardiff City vs Watford prediction — Championship · Tue 13 Oct · 19:45 UK

Championship · Tue 13 Oct · 19:45 UK
47Cardiff City win25Draw28Watford win
Full time
5–1

How it finished

Cardiff City beat Watford 5–1. Cardiff City had 22 shots (10 on target) to Watford's 14 (4), with 58% of the ball against 42%. Expected goals finished 3.7 to 1.5.

Cardiff CityFull-time statsWatford
58%Possession42%
3.7Expected goals (xG)1.5
22Shots14
10Shots on target4
14Shots inside box10
6Big chances6
6Corners1
3Saves6
12Fouls12
4Offsides4
1Yellow cards4
We predicted
2–1
Likeliest score if Cardiff City win (9%). Single likeliest exact score: 1–1 (12%)
Expected goals
1.7v1.3
3.0 in total
Both teams score
59%
Leans yes
3+ goals
58%
Leans likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

Cardiff CityCardiff CityWatfordWatford
1.7Goals1.3
20.9Shots13.8
7.8On target4.7
8.4Corners4.0
Cardiff CityCardiff CityWatfordWatford
1.0Goals0.4
8.7Shots6.3
3.4On target2.0
3.9Corners1.9
Cardiff CityCardiff CityWatfordWatford
0.7Goals0.9
12.2Shots7.5
4.4On target2.7
4.4Corners2.1

What we said the chances were

Cardiff City to score82%
2 or more goals80%
Goal before half-time76%
Watford to score72%
3 goals or fewer65%

First half — what we expected

Cardiff City
62%
to score before half-time
Watford
35%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

Cardiff CityCardiff CityWatfordWatford
59%8+ shots31%
38%10+ shots15%
82%2+ shots on target56%
43%4+ shots on target16%
70%3+ corners29%
36%5+ corners<10%

League position

Watford in their league tableBottom quarter

Head to head

Jan 2025Cardiff City 1–1 Watford
Dec 2024Watford 1–2 Cardiff City
Feb 2024Watford 0–1 Cardiff City
Oct 2023Cardiff City 1–1 Watford
Apr 2023Watford 1–3 Cardiff City
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

Championship table →
All fixtures & results →Cardiff City form →Watford form →

Common questions

Who won Cardiff City vs Watford?

Cardiff City beat Watford 5–1. Cardiff City had 22 shots (10 on target) to Watford's 14 (4), with 58% of the ball against 42%. Expected goals finished 3.7 to 1.5.

What was the final score in Cardiff City vs Watford?

Cardiff City 5–1 Watford, played on 13 Oct 2026 in the England: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Cardiff City 47%, the draw 25% and Watford 28%.

What were the stats in Cardiff City vs Watford?

Full-time: Possession 58%–42%, Expected goals (xG) 3.7–1.5, Shots 22–14, Shots on target 10–4, Shots inside box 14–10, Big chances 6–6, Corners 6–1, Saves 3–6, Fouls 12–12, Offsides 4–4, Yellow cards 1–4.

Did both teams score in Cardiff City vs Watford?

Yes — both Cardiff City and Watford scored, finishing 5–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 59% before kickoff.