Racing Santander and Valencia drew 2–2. Racing Santander had 20 shots (11 on target) to Valencia's 10 (2), with 54% of the ball against 46%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 1.7.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
Racing Santander and Valencia drew 2–2. Racing Santander had 20 shots (11 on target) to Valencia's 10 (2), with 54% of the ball against 46%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 1.7.
Racing Santander 2–2 Valencia, played on 11 Oct 2026 in the Spain: La Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Racing Santander 38%, the draw 25% and Valencia 37%.
Full-time: Possession 54%–46%, Expected goals (xG) 1.3–1.7, Shots 20–10, Shots on target 11–2, Shots inside box 7–7, Big chances 1–4, Corners 8–3, Saves 0–9, Fouls 15–10, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 3–3.
Yes — both Racing Santander and Valencia scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 62% before kickoff.