Bawler's pick
3 legs, built by our modelBologna on top, and Federico Bernardeschi getting plenty of shots away.
Bologna v Udinese prediction
Bologna are favourites on our numbers: 55% to win, against 20% for Udinese and 24% for a draw. Our predicted score is Bologna 1–0 Udinese: the most likely score if Bologna win, at 10%. Our expected goals are 1.8 for Bologna and 1.0 for Udinese, 2.9 in all. Both teams scoring is 54% and three or more goals is 55%.
Of their last five meetings on our records, Bologna have won two, Udinese none, and three were drawn. When they last met, it finished Bologna 1–0 Udinese, in Feb 2026. On form, Bologna have four wins, one draw and one defeat from their last six games, and Udinese have no wins, one draw and five defeats.
For cards, Torbjørn Heggem (Bologna) has been booked once every 2 games in 2026/27, more often than anyone else here. On shots, our forecast is 19.0 for Bologna and 9.4 for Udinese, with 4.5 and 3.6 on target, and corners at 6.4 to 3.7. So we expect Bologna to do more of the shooting. Bawler's pick for this game is Bologna or Draw, Bologna Over 14.5 Shots and Federico Bernardeschi 2+ Shots. Our model gives all three landing together a 54% chance, which makes the fair price 5/6 (1.85).
Written from the numbers on this page. These are forecasts, not certainties. 18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org
Players to watch
Most booked
Games per booking, from their latest season — a record, not a forecastWhat we expect from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
More chances
Bologna · last 6
Udinese · last 6
League position
Head to head
First half — what we expect
First-half chances
How likely each side is to reach these totals before half-time.
Second half — who scores?
At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.
What would change the call
Bologna or draw is 80% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:
Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.
Around this fixture
Serie A table →Common questions
Who will win Bologna vs Udinese?
Bawler's model rates this match: Bologna are favoured (55% win probability vs 20% for Udinese, 24% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
What is the predicted score for Bologna vs Udinese?
Bawler's predicted score is Bologna 1-0 Udinese: the most likely score if Bologna win, which is the likeliest result (55%). Our model puts that exact score at 10.3%. Expected total goals: 2.9.
How does Bawler predict Bologna vs Udinese?
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives Bologna 55%, the draw 24% and Udinese 20%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Bologna vs Udinese?
Probably — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 54% chance. That is based on Bologna expecting 1.84 goals and Udinese 1.03.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Bologna vs Udinese?
Bawler's model expects 2.9 goals in total. It leans slightly towards three or more goals: over 2.5 goals is 55%.
When are the Bologna v Udinese line-ups announced?
Clubs usually name their line-ups about an hour before kickoff.
What is Bawler's pick for Bologna v Udinese?
Bologna or Draw (80%), Bologna Over 14.5 Shots (79%), Federico Bernardeschi 2+ Shots (79%). Our model gives all 3 landing together a 54% chance, a fair price of 5/6 (1.85). 18+, please gamble responsibly.