Bawler's pick
4 legs, built by our modelWest Ham United on top: we expect them to avoid defeat and do most of the shooting.
Portsmouth v West Ham United prediction
Our model makes West Ham United favourites for this Championship game, giving them a 54% chance of winning. Portsmouth are 22% and the draw is 25%. Our predicted score is Portsmouth 0–1 West Ham United: the most likely score if West Ham United win, at 10%. We expect 2.9 goals in total: 1.1 for Portsmouth and 1.8 for West Ham United. Both sides are more likely than not to score (55%) and three or more goals is 55%.
In their last six games Portsmouth have three wins, two draws and one defeat, while West Ham United have two wins, one draw and three defeats. Both lost their most recent match. Of their last three meetings on our records, Portsmouth have won none, West Ham United three. The last meeting ended West Ham United 3–1 Portsmouth, in Aug 2026.
We expect Portsmouth to have 15.2 shots (4.8 on target) and West Ham United 13.3 (4.1 on target), and corners at 5.7 to 5.6. Bawler's pick combines West Ham United or Draw, West Ham United Over 9.5 Shots, West Ham United Over 1.5 Shots on Target and West Ham United Over 2.5 Corners. We make the chance of all four coming in 52%, a fair price of 10/11 (1.91).
Written from the numbers on this page. These are forecasts, not certainties. 18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org
Players to watch
Numbers are if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff.
Most booked
Games per booking, from their latest season — a record, not a forecastWhat we expect from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
More chances
Portsmouth · last 6
West Ham United · last 6
League position
Head to head
First half — what we expect
First-half chances
How likely each side is to reach these totals before half-time.
Second half — who scores?
At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.
What would change the call
West Ham United or draw is 78% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:
Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.
Player forecasts
Shots we expect from each player if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff. From 2025/26–2026/27, all club matches.
1 in 3 = booked about once every three games last time out — a record, not a forecast. Players with fewer minutes are pulled toward the league average, so a small sample never reads as a certainty.
Around this fixture
Championship table →Common questions
Who will win Portsmouth vs West Ham United?
Bawler's model rates this match: West Ham United are favoured (54% win probability vs 22% for Portsmouth, 25% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
What is the predicted score for Portsmouth vs West Ham United?
Bawler's predicted score is Portsmouth 0-1 West Ham United: the most likely score if West Ham United win, which is the likeliest result (54%). Our model puts that exact score at 10.1%. Expected total goals: 2.9.
How does Bawler predict Portsmouth vs West Ham United?
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives Portsmouth 22%, the draw 25% and West Ham United 54%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Portsmouth vs West Ham United?
Probably — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 55% chance. That is based on Portsmouth expecting 1.07 goals and West Ham United 1.80.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Portsmouth vs West Ham United?
Bawler's model expects 2.9 goals in total. It leans slightly towards three or more goals: over 2.5 goals is 55%.
When are the Portsmouth v West Ham United line-ups announced?
Clubs usually name their line-ups about an hour before kickoff.
What is Bawler's pick for Portsmouth v West Ham United?
West Ham United or Draw (78%), West Ham United Over 9.5 Shots (79%), West Ham United Over 1.5 Shots on Target (89%), West Ham United Over 2.5 Corners (86%). Our model gives all 4 landing together a 52% chance, a fair price of 10/11 (1.91). 18+, please gamble responsibly.