Chicago Fire FC vs Philadelphia Union prediction — MLS · Thu 15 Oct · 01:30 UK

MLS · Thu 15 Oct · 01:30 UK
41Chicago Fire FC win24Draw35Philadelphia Union win
Full time
1–3

How it finished

Philadelphia Union beat Chicago Fire FC 3–1. Chicago Fire FC had 8 shots (4 on target) to Philadelphia Union's 19 (8), with 49% of the ball against 51%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 2.2.

Chicago FireFull-time statsPhiladelphia…
49%Possession51%
0.8Expected goals (xG)2.2
8Shots19
4Shots on target8
5Shots inside box13
1Big chances4
2Corners7
4Saves3
12Fouls16
3Offsides1
4Yellow cards2
1Red cards0
We predicted
2–1
Likeliest score if Chicago Fire FC win (8%). Single likeliest exact score: 1–1 (10%)
Expected goals
1.7v1.6
3.3 in total
Both teams score
66%
Yes
3+ goals
65%
Likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

Chicago Fire FCChicago Fire FCPhiladelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union
1.7Goals1.6
14.0Shots12.9
5.7On target5.4
4.0Corners5.3
Chicago Fire FCChicago Fire FCPhiladelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union
0.8Goals0.5
6.3Shots5.8
2.4On target2.4
1.9Corners2.5
Chicago Fire FCChicago Fire FCPhiladelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union
0.9Goals1.0
7.8Shots7.0
3.2On target3.1
2.1Corners2.8

What we said the chances were

2 or more goals84%
Chicago Fire FC to score82%
Philadelphia Union to score80%
Goal before half-time74%

First half — what we expected

Chicago Fire FC
55%
to score before half-time
Philadelphia Union
42%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

Chicago Fire FCChicago Fire FCPhiladelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union
68%5+ shots63%
42%7+ shots37%
88%1+ shots on target87%
42%3+ shots on target41%
80%1+ corners88%
30%3+ corners43%

League position

Philadelphia Union in their league tableUpper half

Head to head

Mar 2026Philadelphia Union 1–2 Chicago Fire FC
Nov 2025Chicago Fire FC 0–3 Philadelphia Union
Oct 2025Philadelphia Union 2–2 Chicago Fire FC
Aug 2025Philadelphia Union 4–0 Chicago Fire FC
Jun 2025Chicago Fire FC 0–1 Philadelphia Union
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

MLS table →
All fixtures & results →Chicago Fire FC form →Philadelphia Union form →

Common questions

Who won Chicago Fire FC vs Philadelphia Union?

Philadelphia Union beat Chicago Fire FC 3–1. Chicago Fire FC had 8 shots (4 on target) to Philadelphia Union's 19 (8), with 49% of the ball against 51%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 2.2.

What was the final score in Chicago Fire FC vs Philadelphia Union?

Chicago Fire FC 1–3 Philadelphia Union, played on 15 Oct 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Chicago Fire FC 41%, the draw 24% and Philadelphia Union 35%.

What were the stats in Chicago Fire FC vs Philadelphia Union?

Full-time: Possession 49%–51%, Expected goals (xG) 0.8–2.2, Shots 8–19, Shots on target 4–8, Shots inside box 5–13, Big chances 1–4, Corners 2–7, Saves 4–3, Fouls 12–16, Offsides 3–1, Yellow cards 4–2, Red cards 1–0.

Did both teams score in Chicago Fire FC vs Philadelphia Union?

Yes — both Chicago Fire FC and Philadelphia Union scored, finishing 1–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 66% before kickoff.