Philadelphia Union beat Chicago Fire FC 3–1. Chicago Fire FC had 8 shots (4 on target) to Philadelphia Union's 19 (8), with 49% of the ball against 51%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 2.2.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
Philadelphia Union beat Chicago Fire FC 3–1. Chicago Fire FC had 8 shots (4 on target) to Philadelphia Union's 19 (8), with 49% of the ball against 51%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 2.2.
Chicago Fire FC 1–3 Philadelphia Union, played on 15 Oct 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Chicago Fire FC 41%, the draw 24% and Philadelphia Union 35%.
Full-time: Possession 49%–51%, Expected goals (xG) 0.8–2.2, Shots 8–19, Shots on target 4–8, Shots inside box 5–13, Big chances 1–4, Corners 2–7, Saves 4–3, Fouls 12–16, Offsides 3–1, Yellow cards 4–2, Red cards 1–0.
Yes — both Chicago Fire FC and Philadelphia Union scored, finishing 1–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 66% before kickoff.