FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution prediction — MLS · Thu 15 Oct · 00:30 UK

MLS · Thu 15 Oct · 00:30 UK
42FC Cincinnati win23Draw34New England Revolution win
Full time
2–3

How it finished

New England Revolution beat FC Cincinnati 3–2. FC Cincinnati had 21 shots (9 on target) to New England Revolution's 10 (5), with 59% of the ball against 41%. On expected goals it was 1.9 to 1.7, so FC Cincinnati created the better chances and still lost the game.

FC CincinnatiFull-time statsNew England…
59%Possession41%
1.9Expected goals (xG)1.7
21Shots10
9Shots on target5
9Shots inside box9
4Big chances2
12Corners5
2Saves7
8Fouls7
2Offsides4
3Yellow cards1
We predicted
2–1
Likeliest score if FC Cincinnati win (8%). Single likeliest exact score: 1–1 (10%)
Expected goals
1.9v1.7
3.5 in total
Both teams score
68%
Yes
3+ goals
68%
Likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

FC CincinnatiFC CincinnatiNew England RevolutionNew England Revolution
1.9Goals1.7
15.6Shots17.0
5.9On target6.6
4.6Corners5.4
FC CincinnatiFC CincinnatiNew England RevolutionNew England Revolution
0.7Goals0.9
7.2Shots7.8
2.7On target3.0
2.2Corners2.5
FC CincinnatiFC CincinnatiNew England RevolutionNew England Revolution
1.2Goals0.8
8.4Shots9.2
3.2On target3.6
2.4Corners2.9

What we said the chances were

2 or more goals87%
FC Cincinnati to score84%
New England Revolution to score81%
Goal before half-time79%

First half — what we expected

FC Cincinnati
50%
to score before half-time
New England Revolution
59%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

FC CincinnatiFC CincinnatiNew England RevolutionNew England Revolution
54%7+ shots61%
32%9+ shots38%
72%2+ shots on target77%
30%4+ shots on target36%
59%2+ corners67%
20%4+ corners26%

League position

New England Revolution in their league tableTop quarter

Head to head

Mar 2026New England Revolution 6–1 FC Cincinnati
Jun 2025New England Revolution 0–1 FC Cincinnati
Apr 2025FC Cincinnati 1–0 New England Revolution
Jun 2024FC Cincinnati 1–2 New England Revolution
Mar 2024New England Revolution 1–2 FC Cincinnati
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

MLS table →
All fixtures & results →FC Cincinnati form →New England Revolution form →

Common questions

Who won FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution?

New England Revolution beat FC Cincinnati 3–2. FC Cincinnati had 21 shots (9 on target) to New England Revolution's 10 (5), with 59% of the ball against 41%. On expected goals it was 1.9 to 1.7, so FC Cincinnati created the better chances and still lost the game.

What was the final score in FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution?

FC Cincinnati 2–3 New England Revolution, played on 15 Oct 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with FC Cincinnati 42%, the draw 23% and New England Revolution 34%.

What were the stats in FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution?

Full-time: Possession 59%–41%, Expected goals (xG) 1.9–1.7, Shots 21–10, Shots on target 9–5, Shots inside box 9–9, Big chances 4–2, Corners 12–5, Saves 2–7, Fouls 8–7, Offsides 2–4, Yellow cards 3–1.

Did both teams score in FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution?

Yes — both FC Cincinnati and New England Revolution scored, finishing 2–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 68% before kickoff.