New England Revolution beat FC Cincinnati 3–2. FC Cincinnati had 21 shots (9 on target) to New England Revolution's 10 (5), with 59% of the ball against 41%. On expected goals it was 1.9 to 1.7, so FC Cincinnati created the better chances and still lost the game.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
New England Revolution beat FC Cincinnati 3–2. FC Cincinnati had 21 shots (9 on target) to New England Revolution's 10 (5), with 59% of the ball against 41%. On expected goals it was 1.9 to 1.7, so FC Cincinnati created the better chances and still lost the game.
FC Cincinnati 2–3 New England Revolution, played on 15 Oct 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with FC Cincinnati 42%, the draw 23% and New England Revolution 34%.
Full-time: Possession 59%–41%, Expected goals (xG) 1.9–1.7, Shots 21–10, Shots on target 9–5, Shots inside box 9–9, Big chances 4–2, Corners 12–5, Saves 2–7, Fouls 8–7, Offsides 2–4, Yellow cards 3–1.
Yes — both FC Cincinnati and New England Revolution scored, finishing 2–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 68% before kickoff.