Lille vs Le Havre AC prediction — Ligue 1 · Sat 10 Oct · 16:15 UK

Ligue 1 · Sat 10 Oct · 16:15 UK
57Lille win24Draw18Le Havre AC win
Full time
1–0

How it finished

Lille beat Le Havre AC 1–0. Lille had 5 shots (1 on target) to Le Havre AC's 17 (2), with 47% of the ball against 53%. On expected goals it was 1.2 to 1.3, so Le Havre AC created the better chances and still lost the game.

LilleFull-time statsLe Havre AC
47%Possession53%
1.2Expected goals (xG)1.3
5Shots17
1Shots on target2
3Shots inside box9
3Big chances0
4Corners5
2Saves0
17Fouls12
4Offsides1
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards1
We predicted
1–0
Likeliest score if Lille win (11%). Single likeliest exact score: 1–1 (12%)
Expected goals
1.8v0.9
2.8 in total
Both teams score
51%
Leans yes
3+ goals
52%
Leans likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

LilleLilleLe Havre ACLe Havre AC
1.8Goals0.9
18.4Shots13.0
8.0On target6.7
3.1Corners6.5
LilleLilleLe Havre ACLe Havre AC
0.6Goals0.3
8.5Shots5.9
3.5On target2.9
1.4Corners3.0
LilleLilleLe Havre ACLe Havre AC
1.2Goals0.6
9.9Shots7.2
4.5On target3.7
1.6Corners3.4

What we said the chances were

Lille to score84%
2 or more goals76%
3 goals or fewer70%
Le Havre AC to score61%
Goal before half-time59%

First half — what we expected

Lille
45%
to score before half-time
Le Havre AC
27%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

LilleLilleLe Havre ACLe Havre AC
57%8+ shots27%
36%10+ shots12%
65%3+ shots on target54%
29%5+ shots on target20%
40%2+ corners75%
<10%4+ corners36%

League position

Le Havre AC in their league tableBottom quarter

Head to head

May 2026Lille 1–1 Le Havre
Nov 2025Le Havre 0–1 Lille
Feb 2025Lille 1–2 Le Havre
Sept 2024Le Havre 0–3 Lille
Feb 2024Lille 3–0 Le Havre
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

Ligue 1 table →
All fixtures & results →Lille form →Le Havre AC form →

Common questions

Who won Lille vs Le Havre AC?

Lille beat Le Havre AC 1–0. Lille had 5 shots (1 on target) to Le Havre AC's 17 (2), with 47% of the ball against 53%. On expected goals it was 1.2 to 1.3, so Le Havre AC created the better chances and still lost the game.

What was the final score in Lille vs Le Havre AC?

Lille 1–0 Le Havre AC, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the France: Ligue 1. Bawler's model had gone into it with Lille 57%, the draw 24% and Le Havre AC 18%.

What were the stats in Lille vs Le Havre AC?

Full-time: Possession 47%–53%, Expected goals (xG) 1.2–1.3, Shots 5–17, Shots on target 1–2, Shots inside box 3–9, Big chances 3–0, Corners 4–5, Saves 2–0, Fouls 17–12, Offsides 4–1, Yellow cards 2–2, Red cards 0–1.

Did both teams score in Lille vs Le Havre AC?

No. It finished 1–0, so Le Havre AC failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 51% before kickoff.