Lille beat Le Havre AC 1–0. Lille had 5 shots (1 on target) to Le Havre AC's 17 (2), with 47% of the ball against 53%. On expected goals it was 1.2 to 1.3, so Le Havre AC created the better chances and still lost the game.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
Lille beat Le Havre AC 1–0. Lille had 5 shots (1 on target) to Le Havre AC's 17 (2), with 47% of the ball against 53%. On expected goals it was 1.2 to 1.3, so Le Havre AC created the better chances and still lost the game.
Lille 1–0 Le Havre AC, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the France: Ligue 1. Bawler's model had gone into it with Lille 57%, the draw 24% and Le Havre AC 18%.
Full-time: Possession 47%–53%, Expected goals (xG) 1.2–1.3, Shots 5–17, Shots on target 1–2, Shots inside box 3–9, Big chances 3–0, Corners 4–5, Saves 2–0, Fouls 17–12, Offsides 4–1, Yellow cards 2–2, Red cards 0–1.
No. It finished 1–0, so Le Havre AC failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 51% before kickoff.