Bawler's pick
3 legs, built by our modelInter Miami CF on top: Lionel Messi to test the keeper, and Santiago Rodríguez kept busy stopping them.
Inter Miami CF v Columbus Crew prediction
Our model makes Inter Miami CF favourites for this MLS game, giving them a 50% chance of winning. Columbus Crew are 28% and the draw is 22%. If you want one score, our predicted score is Inter Miami CF 2–1 Columbus Crew, the most likely Inter Miami CF win (9%). Inter Miami CF are expected to score 2.1 goals and Columbus Crew 1.5, 3.6 between them. Both sides are more likely than not to score (69%) and three or more goals is 70%.
We expect Inter Miami CF to have 14.8 shots (6.3 on target) and Columbus Crew 12.2 (4.5 on target), and corners at 4.6 to 3.8. Of their last five meetings on our records, Inter Miami CF have won three, Columbus Crew one, and one was drawn. The last meeting ended Columbus Crew 2–1 Inter Miami CF, in Sept 2026.
Inter Miami CF come in with three wins, two draws and one defeat in their last six. Columbus Crew have five wins, no draws and one defeat over the same run. Bawler's pick for this game is Inter Miami CF or Draw, Santiago Rodríguez 1+ Foul Committed and Lionel Messi 1+ Shot on Target. Our model gives all three landing together a 50% chance, which makes the fair price Evens (1.99).
Written from the numbers on this page. These are forecasts, not certainties. 18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org
Players to watch
Numbers are if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff.
Most shots
Shots we expect them to takeMost on target
Shots on target we expectMost booked
Games per booking, from their latest season — a record, not a forecastWhat we expect from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
More chances
Inter Miami CF · last 6
Columbus Crew · last 6
League position
Head to head
First half — what we expect
First-half chances
How likely each side is to reach these totals before half-time.
Second half — who scores?
At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.
What would change the call
Inter Miami CF or draw is 72% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:
Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.
Player forecasts
Shots we expect from each player if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff. From 2025–2026 and 2026, all club matches.
1 in 3 = booked about once every three games last time out — a record, not a forecast. Players with fewer minutes are pulled toward the league average, so a small sample never reads as a certainty.
Around this fixture
MLS table →Common questions
Who will win Inter Miami CF vs Columbus Crew?
Bawler's model rates this match: Inter Miami CF are favoured (50% win probability vs 28% for Columbus Crew, 22% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
What is the predicted score for Inter Miami CF vs Columbus Crew?
Bawler's predicted score is Inter Miami CF 2-1 Columbus Crew: the most likely score if Inter Miami CF win, which is the likeliest result (50%). Our model puts that exact score at 8.8%. Expected total goals: 3.6.
How does Bawler predict Inter Miami CF vs Columbus Crew?
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives Inter Miami CF 50%, the draw 22% and Columbus Crew 28%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Inter Miami CF vs Columbus Crew?
Probably — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 69% chance. That is based on Inter Miami CF expecting 2.09 goals and Columbus Crew 1.54.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Inter Miami CF vs Columbus Crew?
Bawler's model expects 3.6 goals in total. It leans towards three or more goals: over 2.5 goals is 70%.
When are the Inter Miami CF v Columbus Crew line-ups announced?
Clubs usually name their line-ups about an hour before kickoff.
What is Bawler's pick for Inter Miami CF v Columbus Crew?
Inter Miami CF or Draw (72%), Santiago Rodríguez 1+ Foul Committed (76%), Lionel Messi 1+ Shot on Target (83%). Our model gives all 3 landing together a 50% chance, a fair price of Evens (1.99). 18+, please gamble responsibly.