Inter Miami CF vs New York City FC prediction — MLS · Thu 15 Oct · 00:30 UK

MLS · Thu 15 Oct · 00:30 UK
53Inter Miami CF win22Draw24New York City FC win
Full time
2–0

How it finished

Inter Miami CF beat New York City FC 2–0. Inter Miami CF had 14 shots (6 on target) to New York City FC's 14 (5), with 57% of the ball against 43%. Expected goals finished 2.2 to 1.5.

Inter MiamiFull-time statsNew York City
57%Possession43%
2.2Expected goals (xG)1.5
14Shots14
6Shots on target5
10Shots inside box4
4Big chances1
3Corners4
5Saves4
14Fouls8
0Offsides0
2Yellow cards0
We predicted
2–1
Likeliest score if Inter Miami CF win (9%). Single likeliest exact score: 1–1 (9%)
Expected goals
2.1v1.4
3.5 in total
Both teams score
66%
Yes
3+ goals
68%
Likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

Inter Miami CFInter Miami CFNew York City FCNew York City FC
2.1Goals1.4
15.4Shots13.1
6.9On target5.7
5.0Corners4.0
Inter Miami CFInter Miami CFNew York City FCNew York City FC
1.1Goals0.7
7.2Shots5.7
3.3On target2.5
2.4Corners1.9
Inter Miami CFInter Miami CFNew York City FCNew York City FC
1.0Goals0.7
8.3Shots7.4
3.6On target3.3
2.7Corners2.1

What we said the chances were

Inter Miami CF to score88%
2 or more goals86%
Goal before half-time82%
New York City FC to score75%

First half — what we expected

Inter Miami CF
65%
to score before half-time
New York City FC
50%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

Inter Miami CFInter Miami CFNew York City FCNew York City FC
66%6+ shots47%
42%8+ shots24%
80%2+ shots on target67%
41%4+ shots on target25%
86%1+ corners79%
40%3+ corners29%

League position

New York City FC in their league tableLower half

Head to head

Mar 2026New York City FC 2–3 Inter Miami CF
Nov 2025Inter Miami CF 5–1 New York City FC
Sept 2025New York City FC 0–4 Inter Miami CF
Feb 2025Inter Miami CF 2–2 New York City FC
Sept 2024New York City FC 1–1 Inter Miami CF
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

MLS table →
All fixtures & results →Inter Miami CF form →New York City FC form →

Common questions

Who won Inter Miami CF vs New York City FC?

Inter Miami CF beat New York City FC 2–0. Inter Miami CF had 14 shots (6 on target) to New York City FC's 14 (5), with 57% of the ball against 43%. Expected goals finished 2.2 to 1.5.

What was the final score in Inter Miami CF vs New York City FC?

Inter Miami CF 2–0 New York City FC, played on 15 Oct 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Inter Miami CF 53%, the draw 22% and New York City FC 24%.

What were the stats in Inter Miami CF vs New York City FC?

Full-time: Possession 57%–43%, Expected goals (xG) 2.2–1.5, Shots 14–14, Shots on target 6–5, Shots inside box 10–4, Big chances 4–1, Corners 3–4, Saves 5–4, Fouls 14–8, Offsides 0–0, Yellow cards 2–0.

Did both teams score in Inter Miami CF vs New York City FC?

No. It finished 2–0, so New York City FC failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 66% before kickoff.