Bawler's pick
4 legs, built by our modelAn open game: both sides to score, with Gonzalo Tapia and Lionel Messi both getting shots away.
Columbus Crew v Inter Miami CF prediction
Our model makes Columbus Crew favourites for this MLS game, giving them a 43% chance of winning. Inter Miami CF are 34% and the draw is 23%. If you want one score, our predicted score is Columbus Crew 2–1 Inter Miami CF, the most likely Columbus Crew win (8%). We expect 3.5 goals in total: 1.9 for Columbus Crew and 1.7 for Inter Miami CF. Both teams scoring is 69% and three or more goals is 69%.
Of their last five meetings on our records, Columbus Crew have won one, Inter Miami CF three, and one was drawn. When they last met, it finished Columbus Crew 2–1 Inter Miami CF, in Sept 2026. On shots, our forecast is 13.8 for Columbus Crew and 10.9 for Inter Miami CF, with 4.8 and 4.3 on target, and corners at 4.8 to 3.3.
In their last six games Columbus Crew have five wins, no draws and one defeat, while Inter Miami CF have three wins, two draws and one defeat. Columbus Crew won their most recent match and Inter Miami CF drew theirs. Bawler's pick for this game is Both Teams to Score, Over 20.5 Total Shots, Gonzalo Tapia 1+ Shot and Lionel Messi 1+ Shot. Our model gives all four landing together a 59% chance, which makes the fair price 8/11 (1.71).
Written from the numbers on this page. These are forecasts, not certainties. 18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org
Players to watch
Numbers are if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff.
Most shots
Shots we expect them to takeMost on target
Shots on target we expectMost booked
Games per booking, from their latest season — a record, not a forecastWhat we expect from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
More chances
Columbus Crew · last 6
Inter Miami CF · last 6
League position
Head to head
First half — what we expect
First-half chances
How likely each side is to reach these totals before half-time.
Second half — who scores?
At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.
What would change the call
Columbus Crew or draw is 66% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:
Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.
Player forecasts
Shots we expect from each player if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff. From 2025–2026 and 2026, all club matches.
1 in 3 = booked about once every three games last time out — a record, not a forecast. Players with fewer minutes are pulled toward the league average, so a small sample never reads as a certainty.
Around this fixture
MLS table →Common questions
Who will win Columbus Crew vs Inter Miami CF?
Bawler's model rates this match: Columbus Crew are favoured (43% win probability vs 34% for Inter Miami CF, 23% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
What is the predicted score for Columbus Crew vs Inter Miami CF?
Bawler's predicted score is Columbus Crew 2-1 Inter Miami CF: the most likely score if Columbus Crew win, which is the likeliest result (43%). Our model puts that exact score at 8.4%. Expected total goals: 3.5.
How does Bawler predict Columbus Crew vs Inter Miami CF?
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives Columbus Crew 43%, the draw 23% and Inter Miami CF 34%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Columbus Crew vs Inter Miami CF?
Probably — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 69% chance. That is based on Columbus Crew expecting 1.88 goals and Inter Miami CF 1.67.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Columbus Crew vs Inter Miami CF?
Bawler's model expects 3.5 goals in total. It leans towards three or more goals: over 2.5 goals is 69%.
When are the Columbus Crew v Inter Miami CF line-ups announced?
Clubs usually name their line-ups about an hour before kickoff.
What is Bawler's pick for Columbus Crew v Inter Miami CF?
Both Teams to Score (69%), Over 20.5 Total Shots (77%), Gonzalo Tapia 1+ Shot (92%), Lionel Messi 1+ Shot (95%). Our model gives all 4 landing together a 59% chance, a fair price of 8/11 (1.71). 18+, please gamble responsibly.