CF Montréal vs Atlanta United FC prediction — MLS · Thu 15 Oct · 00:30 UK

MLS · Thu 15 Oct · 00:30 UK
43CF Montréal win26Draw31Atlanta United FC win
Full time
0–3

How it finished

Atlanta United FC beat CF Montréal 3–0. CF Montréal had 9 shots (2 on target) to Atlanta United FC's 18 (6), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 0.6 to 2.1.

CF MontréalFull-time statsAtlanta…
52%Possession48%
0.6Expected goals (xG)2.1
9Shots18
2Shots on target6
3Shots inside box10
1Big chances3
7Corners6
3Saves2
16Fouls15
1Offsides1
1Yellow cards2
We predicted
2–1
Likeliest score if CF Montréal win (9%). Single likeliest exact score: 1–1 (12%)
Expected goals
1.6v1.3
2.9 in total
Both teams score
59%
Leans yes
3+ goals
56%
Leans likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

CF MontréalCF MontréalAtlanta United FCAtlanta United FC
1.6Goals1.3
16.3Shots14.5
6.2On target5.0
5.3Corners5.1
CF MontréalCF MontréalAtlanta United FCAtlanta United FC
1.0Goals0.4
7.6Shots6.6
2.9On target2.4
2.5Corners2.4
CF MontréalCF MontréalAtlanta United FCAtlanta United FC
0.6Goals1.0
8.8Shots7.9
3.3On target2.6
2.8Corners2.7

What we said the chances were

CF Montréal to score80%
2 or more goals79%
Goal before half-time74%
Atlanta United FC to score73%
3 goals or fewer66%

First half — what we expected

CF Montréal
62%
to score before half-time
Atlanta United FC
30%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

CF MontréalCF MontréalAtlanta United FCAtlanta United FC
58%7+ shots47%
36%9+ shots25%
74%2+ shots on target64%
33%4+ shots on target23%
88%1+ corners87%
43%3+ corners41%

League position

Atlanta United FC in their league tableBottom quarter

Head to head

May 2026Atlanta United 3–1 CF Montréal
Aug 2025CF Montréal 1–1 Atlanta United
Feb 2025Atlanta United 3–2 CF Montréal
Oct 2024CF Montréal 2–2 Atlanta United
Oct 2024Atlanta United 1–2 CF Montréal
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

MLS table →
All fixtures & results →CF Montréal form →Atlanta United FC form →

Common questions

Who won CF Montréal vs Atlanta United FC?

Atlanta United FC beat CF Montréal 3–0. CF Montréal had 9 shots (2 on target) to Atlanta United FC's 18 (6), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 0.6 to 2.1.

What was the final score in CF Montréal vs Atlanta United FC?

CF Montréal 0–3 Atlanta United FC, played on 15 Oct 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with CF Montréal 43%, the draw 26% and Atlanta United FC 31%.

What were the stats in CF Montréal vs Atlanta United FC?

Full-time: Possession 52%–48%, Expected goals (xG) 0.6–2.1, Shots 9–18, Shots on target 2–6, Shots inside box 3–10, Big chances 1–3, Corners 7–6, Saves 3–2, Fouls 16–15, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 1–2.

Did both teams score in CF Montréal vs Atlanta United FC?

No. It finished 0–3, so CF Montréal failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 59% before kickoff.