Vancouver Whitecaps and D.C. United drew 3–3. Bawler's model favoured Vancouver Whitecaps at 71% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 18%. It forecast 3.2 goals; the match produced 6. Vancouver Whitecaps had 16 shots (9 on target) to D.C. United's 21 (8), with 63% of the ball against 37%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 2.5.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
Each bar is split by each side's share of the total.
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
Vancouver Whitecaps and D.C. United drew 3–3. Bawler's model favoured Vancouver Whitecaps at 71% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 18%. It forecast 3.2 goals; the match produced 6. Vancouver Whitecaps had 16 shots (9 on target) to D.C. United's 21 (8), with 63% of the ball against 37%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 2.5.
Vancouver Whitecaps 3–3 D.C. United, played on 27 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Vancouver Whitecaps 71%, the draw 18% and D.C. United 11%.
Full-time: Possession 63%–37%, Expected goals (xG) 1.9–2.5, Shots 16–21, Shots on target 9–8, Shots inside box 12–17, Big chances 4–3, Corners 7–10, Saves 4–6, Fouls 10–10, Offsides 2–2, Yellow cards 0–1.
Yes — both Vancouver Whitecaps and D.C. United scored, finishing 3–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 52% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Vancouver Whitecaps to win 71%, it finished Draw (18% called); Total goals — we said 3.2, it finished 6; Both teams to score — we said 52%, it finished Yes.