What we expect
Player forecasts
How much each player is expected to threaten the goal if he starts — lineups are confirmed about an hour before kickoff.
Based on counted shooting from the 2025 and 2026 seasons in this competition.
These are forecasts, not tips. A player’s rate is weighted toward the league average when it rests on fewer minutes, so a small sample never reads as a certainty.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who will win Vancouver Whitecaps vs D.C. United?
Bawler's model rates this match: Vancouver Whitecaps are favoured (73% win probability vs 10% for D.C. United, 17% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.
What is the predicted score for Vancouver Whitecaps vs D.C. United?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Vancouver Whitecaps 2-0 D.C. United (11.5% probability). Expected total goals: 3.24.
How does Bawler predict Vancouver Whitecaps vs D.C. United?
Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Vancouver Whitecaps 73%, the draw 17% and D.C. United 10%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Vancouver Whitecaps vs D.C. United?
BTTS: Yes (50% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 2.43 and away expected goals 0.81.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Vancouver Whitecaps vs D.C. United?
Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 3.24. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).