FT · USA: MLS · Thursday, 15 October 2026
St. Louis CITY SC 0–0 Vancouver WhitecapsMatch recap & how our call landed · Thursday, 15 October 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was Vancouver Whitecaps or draw at 66%. Bawler had St. Louis CITY SC at 34%, the draw at 24% and Vancouver Whitecaps at 42%. The match finished 0–0.
Pre-match probability vs result
St. Louis CITY SC win
34%
Draw
24%
Result
Vancouver Whitecaps win
42%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.5 – 1.7
Total 3.3
Actual
0 – 0
Total 0 (−3.3 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.7 – 0.8
From the match itself
The match produced 3.3 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 84%
Missed
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 24%
Landed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.