FT · USA: MLS · Sunday, 11 October 2026
LAFC 1–1 Vancouver WhitecapsMatch recap & how our call landed · Sunday, 11 October 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was Vancouver Whitecaps or draw at 64%. Bawler had LAFC at 36%, the draw at 26% and Vancouver Whitecaps at 38%. The match finished 1–1.
Pre-match probability vs result
LAFC win
36%
Draw
26%
Result
Vancouver Whitecaps win
38%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.5 – 1.5
Total 3.0
Actual
1 – 1
Total 2 (−1.0 against our forecast)
The match produced 1.0 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 80%
Landed
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 26%
Landed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.