How it finished
Sunderland beat Hull City 1–0. Bawler's model had Sunderland in front at 67% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 1 was scored. Sunderland had 15 shots (4 on target) to Hull City's 7 (1), with 51% of the ball against 49%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 1.0.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 66%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Sunderland vs Hull City?
Sunderland beat Hull City 1–0. Bawler's model had Sunderland in front at 67% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 1 was scored. Sunderland had 15 shots (4 on target) to Hull City's 7 (1), with 51% of the ball against 49%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 1.0.
What was the final score in Sunderland vs Hull City?
Sunderland 1–0 Hull City, played on 08 Sept 2026 in the England: EFL Cup. Bawler's model had gone into it with Sunderland 67%, the draw 20% and Hull City 13%.
What were the stats in Sunderland vs Hull City?
Full-time: Possession 51%–49%, Expected goals (xG) 1.0–1.0, Shots 15–7, Shots on target 4–1, Shots inside box 10–1, Big chances 1–1, Corners 7–12, Saves 1–3, Fouls 8–17, Offsides 5–1, Yellow cards 1–3.
Did both teams score in Sunderland vs Hull City?
No. It finished 1–0, so Hull City failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 49% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Sunderland vs Hull City right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Sunderland to win 67%, it finished Sunderland won (67% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 49%, it finished No.