FT · England: Premier League · Saturday, 12 September 2026
Chelsea 2–2 Hull CityMatch recap · Saturday, 12 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Chelsea win
80%
Draw
13%
Result
Hull City win
7%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.9 – 0.8
Total 3.7
Actual
2 – 2
Total 4 (+0.3 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.9 – 1.3
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.3 of our 3.7.