FT · England: Premier League · Saturday, 19 September 2026
Newcastle United 2–1 Hull CityMatch recap · Saturday, 19 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Newcastle United win
72%
Result
Draw
17%
Hull City win
11%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.5 – 0.9
Total 3.4
Actual
2 – 1
Total 3 (−0.4 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.4 – 1.3
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.4 of our 3.4.