FT · England: Premier League · Saturday, 12 September 2026
Sunderland 0–2 ArsenalMatch recap · Saturday, 12 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Sunderland win
18%
Draw
26%
Arsenal win
56%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
0.8 – 1.6
Total 2.4
Actual
0 – 2
Total 2 (−0.4 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.6 – 2.0
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.4 of our 2.4.