How it finished
Arsenal beat Sunderland 2–0. Bawler's model had Arsenal in front at 56% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.4 goals and the match produced 2. Sunderland had 12 shots (3 on target) to Arsenal's 11 (5), with 42% of the ball against 58%. Expected goals finished 1.6 to 2.0.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 57%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Sunderland vs Arsenal?
Arsenal beat Sunderland 2–0. Bawler's model had Arsenal in front at 56% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.4 goals and the match produced 2. Sunderland had 12 shots (3 on target) to Arsenal's 11 (5), with 42% of the ball against 58%. Expected goals finished 1.6 to 2.0.
What was the final score in Sunderland vs Arsenal?
Sunderland 0–2 Arsenal, played on 12 Sept 2026 in the England: Premier League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Sunderland 18%, the draw 26% and Arsenal 56%.
What were the stats in Sunderland vs Arsenal?
Full-time: Possession 42%–58%, Expected goals (xG) 1.6–2.0, Shots 12–11, Shots on target 3–5, Shots inside box 7–8, Big chances 3–3, Corners 4–2, Saves 3–2, Fouls 18–11, Offsides 2–2, Yellow cards 6–2, Red cards 1–0.
Did both teams score in Sunderland vs Arsenal?
No. It finished 0–2, so Sunderland failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 45% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Sunderland vs Arsenal right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Arsenal or draw 82%, it finished Arsenal won (56% called); Total goals — we said 2.4, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 45%, it finished No.