What we expect
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who will win Sunderland vs Arsenal?
Bawler's model rates this match: Arsenal are favoured (56% win probability vs 18% for Sunderland, 26% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.
What is the predicted score for Sunderland vs Arsenal?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Sunderland 0-1 Arsenal (14.0% probability). Expected total goals: 2.44.
How does Bawler predict Sunderland vs Arsenal?
Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Sunderland 18%, the draw 26% and Arsenal 56%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Sunderland vs Arsenal?
BTTS: No (55% probability) — at least one team likely fails to score. Based on home expected goals 0.82 and away expected goals 1.62.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Sunderland vs Arsenal?
Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.44. The lean is Under 2.5 (likely a tighter affair).