FT · England: EFL Cup · Tuesday, 15 September 2026
Ipswich Town 2–4 ArsenalMatch recap · Tuesday, 15 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Ipswich Town win
13%
Draw
22%
Arsenal win
65%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
0.8 – 2.0
Total 2.8
Actual
2 – 4
Total 6 (+3.2 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.7 – 1.0
From the match itself
The match produced 3.2 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.