What we expect
Player forecasts
How much each player is expected to threaten the goal if he starts — lineups are confirmed about an hour before kickoff.
Based on counted shooting from the 2025 and 2026 seasons in this competition.
These are forecasts, not tips. A player’s rate is weighted toward the league average when it rests on fewer minutes, so a small sample never reads as a certainty.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who will win San Jose Earthquakes vs Portland Timbers?
Bawler's model rates this match: San Jose Earthquakes are favoured (54% win probability vs 24% for Portland Timbers, 22% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.
What is the predicted score for San Jose Earthquakes vs Portland Timbers?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is San Jose Earthquakes 2-1 Portland Timbers (9.2% probability). Expected total goals: 3.58.
How does Bawler predict San Jose Earthquakes vs Portland Timbers?
Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives San Jose Earthquakes 54%, the draw 22% and Portland Timbers 24%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in San Jose Earthquakes vs Portland Timbers?
BTTS: Yes (67% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 2.17 and away expected goals 1.41.
Over or under 2.5 goals in San Jose Earthquakes vs Portland Timbers?
Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 3.58. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).