FT · USA: MLS · Sunday, 20 September 2026
Portland Timbers 0–1 Atlanta United FCMatch recap · Sunday, 20 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Portland Timbers win
47%
Draw
24%
Atlanta United FC win
28%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.8 – 1.4
Total 3.1
Actual
0 – 1
Total 1 (−2.1 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.6 – 0.7
From the match itself
The match produced 2.1 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.