What we expect
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who will win San Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo FC?
Bawler's model rates this match: San Jose Earthquakes are favoured (50% win probability vs 26% for Houston Dynamo FC, 24% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.
What is the predicted score for San Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo FC?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is San Jose Earthquakes 1-1 Houston Dynamo FC (10.7% probability). Expected total goals: 3.21.
How does Bawler predict San Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo FC?
Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives San Jose Earthquakes 50%, the draw 24% and Houston Dynamo FC 26%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in San Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo FC?
BTTS: Yes (62% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.89 and away expected goals 1.32.
Over or under 2.5 goals in San Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo FC?
Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 3.21. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).