How it finished
San Jose Earthquakes beat Houston Dynamo FC 1–0. Bawler's model had San Jose Earthquakes in front at 50% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals; only 1 was scored. San Jose Earthquakes had 10 shots (1 on target) to Houston Dynamo FC's 11 (5), with 38% of the ball against 62%. Expected goals finished 1.2 to 0.9.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 76%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won San Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo FC?
San Jose Earthquakes beat Houston Dynamo FC 1–0. Bawler's model had San Jose Earthquakes in front at 50% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals; only 1 was scored. San Jose Earthquakes had 10 shots (1 on target) to Houston Dynamo FC's 11 (5), with 38% of the ball against 62%. Expected goals finished 1.2 to 0.9.
What was the final score in San Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo FC?
San Jose Earthquakes 1–0 Houston Dynamo FC, played on 13 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with San Jose Earthquakes 50%, the draw 24% and Houston Dynamo FC 26%.
What were the stats in San Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo FC?
Full-time: Possession 38%–62%, Expected goals (xG) 1.2–0.9, Shots 10–11, Shots on target 1–5, Shots inside box 7–7, Big chances 2–4, Corners 1–3, Saves 6–0, Fouls 17–14, Offsides 3–1, Yellow cards 2–1.
Did both teams score in San Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo FC?
No. It finished 1–0, so Houston Dynamo FC failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 62% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for San Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo FC right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said San Jose Earthquakes or draw 74%, it finished San Jose Earthquakes won (50% called); Total goals — we said 3.2, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 62%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 83%, it finished Missed.