Samsunspor vs Fenerbahce prediction — Süper Lig · Sun 30 Aug · 19:30 UK

Süper Lig · Sun 30 Aug · 19:30 UK
Samsunspor 30Draw 26Fenerbahce 45
The call
79%
Over 1.5 goals
2.9
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–2

How it finished

Fenerbahce beat Samsunspor 2–0. Bawler's model had Fenerbahce in front at 45% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 2 were scored. Samsunspor had 6 shots (0 on target) to Fenerbahce's 15 (7), with 58% of the ball against 42%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 1.6.

SamsunsporFull-time statsFenerbahce
58%Possession42%
0.5Expected goals (xG)1.6
6Shots15
0Shots on target7
3Shots inside box13
0Big chances3
1Corners6
5Saves0
13Fouls18
3Offsides2
0Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultFenerbahce 45%Fenerbahce (45% called)
Total goals2.92
Both teams to score58%No
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 79%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Fenerbahce to score81%
Over 1.5 goals79%
Samsunspor to score72%
Under 3.5 goals66%

First half — what we expected

SamsunsporBefore half-timeFenerbahce
39%Chance to score56%
4.3Expected shots5.2
1.5Expected shots on target1.7
1.7Expected corners1.8
61%Chance of 4+ shots74%
28%Chance of 6+ shots42%
65%Chance of 1+ shots on target65%
19%Chance of 3+ shots on target25%
80%Chance of 1+ corners81%
26%Chance of 3+ corners27%

Chance of at least one first-half goal: 73%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)-0.3 / match
Head-to-head, last 5SAM 0 · D 3 · FEN 2
Opponent strength indexUpper mid

Head to head

Mar 2026Fenerbahçe 3–2 Samsunspor
Jan 2026Fenerbahçe 2–0 Samsunspor
Oct 2025Samsunspor 0–0 Fenerbahçe
Mar 2025Fenerbahçe 0–0 Samsunspor
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Samsunspor vs Fenerbahce?

Fenerbahce beat Samsunspor 2–0. Bawler's model had Fenerbahce in front at 45% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 2 were scored. Samsunspor had 6 shots (0 on target) to Fenerbahce's 15 (7), with 58% of the ball against 42%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 1.6.

What was the final score in Samsunspor vs Fenerbahce?

Samsunspor 0–2 Fenerbahce, played on 30 Aug 2026 in the TURKEY: Super Lig. Bawler's model had gone into it with Samsunspor 30%, the draw 26% and Fenerbahce 45%.

What were the stats in Samsunspor vs Fenerbahce?

Full-time: Possession 58%–42%, Expected goals (xG) 0.5–1.6, Shots 6–15, Shots on target 0–7, Shots inside box 3–13, Big chances 0–3, Corners 1–6, Saves 5–0, Fouls 13–18, Offsides 3–2, Yellow cards 0–1.

Did both teams score in Samsunspor vs Fenerbahce?

No. It finished 0–2, so Samsunspor failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Samsunspor vs Fenerbahce right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Fenerbahce 45%, it finished Fenerbahce (45% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished No; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 79%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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