FT · TURKEY: Super Lig · Monday, 17 August 2026
Samsunspor 3–3 GoztepeMatch recap & Bawler model verdict · Monday, 17 August 2026
> 🧠 Model verdict
✗ Result against the lean
Pre-match, Bawler had Samsunspor at 50%, draw at 31%, Goztepe at 19%. Against expectation, the match finished 3-3. The model's headline call was Samsunspor to win.
> Pre-match probability vs result
Samsunspor win
50%
Draw
31%
Actual ✓
Goztepe win
19%
> 🧾 What the model called · and how it landed
High confidence
1X
Pre-match: 76%
✓ Won
Medium confidence
Under 2.5 Goals
Pre-match: 54%
✗ Lost
Outside shot
X2
Pre-match: 27%
✓ Won