FT · Turkey: Süper Lig · Sunday, 20 September 2026
Erzurum BB 1–0 SamsunsporMatch recap · Sunday, 20 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Erzurum BB win
31%
Result
Draw
27%
Samsunspor win
42%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.2 – 1.5
Total 2.7
Actual
1 – 0
Total 1 (−1.7 against our forecast)
The match produced 1.7 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.